Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
Weekly Commentary (Updated: April 18, 2024): After facing two years of oversight from the Television Academy, superstar Selena Gomez stands her strongest chance yet of securing her first acting nomination for her role as the sharp-witted Mabel in Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building.”
Remarkably, Gomez has already earned nods as an executive producer for the first two seasons of the mystery series, making her the third Latina to achieve such a feat. The trail was blazed by Salma Hayek for “Ugly Betty” in 2007 and followed by Cuban producer Marlis Pujol for “The Kominsky Method” in 2020 and 2021. Additionally, only one Latina, Celia D. Costas, has ever clinched a producer win in the top series categories, for “Angels in America” in 2004.
Will the TV Academy overlook Mabel again? It helps that all her co-stars seem like shoo-ins for noms including Steve Martin, Martin Short, Paul Rudd and Meryl Streep. Will they really leave her out of the party? She does face stiff competition.
As reported by Variety in November that “The Bear” sensation Ayo Edebiri is transitioning her Emmy campaign to the lead category for the show’s second season, following her supporting comedy actress win. Her campaign shift has already garnered Golden Globe and SAG awards, setting the stage for a showdown with last year’s Emmy winner, Quinta Brunson from “Abbott Elementary,” and the seasoned Jean Smart from “Hacks.”
Other comedy stalwarts in the mix include Kristen Wiig for “Palm Royale,” potentially joining her “Saturday Night Live” alumna, and Apple TV+ counterpart Maya Rudolph, who is in the running for “Loot.”
Keep watching the skies.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.
2023 category winner: Quinta Brunson as Janine Teagues — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) — Season 2
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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