Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
Weekly Commentary (Updated: May 2, 2024): Meryl Streep has consistently demonstrated her status as Hollywood royalty, securing three Primetime Emmy Awards. She won the lead actress award twice in a limited series: for “Holocaust” in 1978 and “Angels in America” in 2003. She also earned the outstanding narrator award for “Five Came Back” in 2017. In Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building,” Streep’s portrayal of Loretta Durkin, a struggling Broadway actress, has quickly established her as a frontrunner, according to industry experts.
However, the third season of HBO/Max’s “Hacks” introduces a strong competitor in Hannah Einbinder, a two-time nominee who excels as comedy writer Ava Daniels. The series performs well, challenging the previously unquestioned frontrunner “The Bear.” Einbinder’s performance could also bolster her co-star Meg Stalter’s chances.
The race is further complicated by potential vote-splitting among talented actresses from “Abbott Elementary” — Janelle James, Sheryl Lee Ralph, and Lisa Ann Walter — and “The Bear” — Liza Colón-Zayas, Abby Elliott, and Molly Gordon. These actresses are all contenders for the limited number of Emmy slots available.
Standout performances in the 49th season of “Saturday Night Live” by Chloe Fineman, Heidi Gardner, Ego Nwodim, and Sarah Sherman could also disrupt the usual predictions, showcasing the impact of their roles in various episodes.
Emmy legends like Carol Burnett and Allison Janney, from “Palm Royale,” also pose a significant threat, each having previously won multiple Emmys.
Additionally, veteran comedian Susie Essman, known for her roles on “Curb Your Enthusiasm” and “Broad City,” continues to be overlooked by Emmy voters despite her significant contributions. The question remains: Will this be the year she finally receives the recognition she deserves?
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.
2023 category winner: Ayo Edebiri — “The Bear” (FX) — Season 1
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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