By Clayton Davis
Senior Awards Editor
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
Weekly Commentary (March 7, 2024): In best actress, the competition is as fierce as it gets. Emma Stone’s transformation into a woman with a child’s brain surgically implanted in Yorgos Lanthimos’ sci-fi comedy “Poor Things” has garnered substantial support. Yet, Lily Gladstone’s groundbreaking win at the SAG Awards for her riveting portrayal in Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon” may be the momentum she needed to clinch victory in the midst of voting.
Furthermore, Sandra Hüller’s ferocious turn in the French legal thriller “Anatomy of a Fall” could be splitting votes with Stone among international members, paving the way for Gladstone’s ascent.
Should Gladstone not win, her film faces the prospect of leaving empty-handed, which would be Scorsese’s third film to do so after “Gangs of New York” and “The Irishman.” Similarly, Lanthimos’ “Poor Things” risks tying the record for most nominations without a win if it fails to secure any of its 11 nods, joining “The Turning Point” and “The Color Purple.”
It’s going to be so close.
Will Win: Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Could Win: Emma Stone (“Poor Things”)
Should Win: Lily Gladstone
Should have been here: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Origin”) and Teyana Taylor (“A Thousand and One”)
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.
The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.
** This official list is incomplete, with all release dates not yet confirmed and subject to change.
2022 category winner: Michelle Yeoh, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
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